Paulista Série BPaulista Série B
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Itaquá Athletico Clube

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Home
W
10
Full time
Uniao Mogi

Uniao Mogi

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Itaquá Athletico Clube(42%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Itaquá Athletico Clube
Win probability
Itaquá Athletico Clube
42%
Draw
28%
Uniao Mogi
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Itaquá Athletico Clube
34
Uniao Mogi
9
Defence
Itaquá Athletico Clube
91
Uniao Mogi
66
Momentum
Itaquá Athletico Clube
100
Uniao Mogi
0
Danger (xG)
Itaquá Athletico Clube
0.90
Uniao Mogi
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Itaquá Athletico Clube)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Uniao Mogi)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Itaquá Athletico Clube)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Uniao Mogi)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Itaquá Athletico ClubeItaquá Athletico Clube
W
Uniao MogiUniao Mogi
L

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Itaquá Athletico Clube42%
Draw28%
Uniao Mogi30%

Itaquá Athletico Clube leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Itaquá Athletico Clube head into this in Paulista Série B fixture in mixed form (W), while Uniao Mogi arrive in mixed form (L). Itaquá Athletico Clube have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Uniao Mogi over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Itaquá Athletico Clube (91/100) and Uniao Mogi (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Itaquá Athletico Clube have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Uniao Mogi have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Itaquá Athletico Clube have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Itaquá Athletico Clube to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Itaquá Athletico Clube 4238%, Draw 2780%, Uniao Mogi 2982%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Itaquá Athletico Clube 1Draws 00 Uniao Mogi
Avg goals: 1.0
18 Jul 2026
Itaquá Athletico Clube
W10
Uniao Mogi

Recent form

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Itaquá Athletico Clube

W
vs Uniao Mogi
18 Jul 2026
10
Uniao Mogi

Uniao Mogi

L
@ Itaquá Athletico Clube
18 Jul 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Itaquá Athletico Clube vs Uniao Mogi?

GoalVio's model predicts Itaquá Athletico Clube to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Itaquá Athletico Clube vs Uniao Mogi?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Itaquá Athletico Clube vs Uniao Mogi?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Itaquá Athletico Clube vs Uniao Mogi?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more