Itaquá Athletico ClubevsUniao Mogi

Itaquá Athletico Clube are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Uniao Mogi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (74.2 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.