GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Itaquá Athletico Clube · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Itaquá Athletico Clube are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Maua are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (74.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Probability

72.7%

Model confidence

11.1%

Itaquá Athletico Clube has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Itaquá Athletico ClubeWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MauaDDLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Itaquá Athletico ClubeMaua
68.8Attack63.9
75.0Defence44.4
79.2Form52.8
74.2Power53.2
2.62xG0.87
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