GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Itaquá Athletico Clube · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Itaquá Athletico Clube are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Manthiqueira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 29.6-point power-rating edge (74.2 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Probability

79.9%

Model confidence

13.1%

Itaquá Athletico Clube has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Itaquá Athletico ClubeWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
ManthiqueiraDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Itaquá Athletico ClubeManthiqueira
68.8Attack50.0
75.0Defence41.7
79.2Form38.9
74.2Power44.6
2.83xG0.66
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