Itapirense U20vs
Juventus U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Itapirense U20 0-5 Juventus U20
Original prediction
Juventus U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.13 | 21.7% | 11.7% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 14.8% | -10.3 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.2% | 73.6% | 20.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Juventus U20
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Juventus U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80