GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 6/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferroviária U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Itapirense U20 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Ferroviária U20 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária U20 hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Paulista - U20, while Ferroviária U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferroviária U20

Probability

63.3%

Model confidence

11.6%

Ferroviária U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Itapirense U20LLWWL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ferroviária U20LDDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Itapirense U20Ferroviária U20
44.4Attack48.1
25.9Defence70.4
33.3Form63.0
37.2Power60.6
0.86xG2.05
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