Paulista - U20Paulista - U20
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 15:01
Itapirense U20

Itapirense U20

Home
W
32
Full time
América-SP U20

América-SP U20

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Itapirense U20(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Itapirense U20
Win probability
Itapirense U20
41%
Draw
35%
América-SP U20
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Itapirense U20
94
América-SP U20
73
Defence
Itapirense U20
27
América-SP U20
6
Momentum
Itapirense U20
100
América-SP U20
0
Danger (xG)
Itapirense U20
2.70
América-SP U20
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Itapirense U20)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (América-SP U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Itapirense U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (América-SP U20)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Itapirense U20Itapirense U20
W
América-SP U20América-SP U20
LL

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Itapirense U2041%
Draw35%
América-SP U2024%

Itapirense U20 leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Itapirense U20 head into this in Paulista - U20 fixture in mixed form (W), while América-SP U20 arrive in mixed form (L). Itapirense U20 have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for América-SP U20 over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Itapirense U20 (94/100) and América-SP U20 (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Itapirense U20 have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. América-SP U20 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Itapirense U20 have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Itapirense U20 to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Itapirense U20 4051%, Draw 3500%, América-SP U20 2449%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Itapirense U20 1Draws 00 América-SP U20
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Itapirense U20
W32
América-SP U20

Recent form

Itapirense U20

Itapirense U20

W
vs América-SP U20
17 Jul 2026
32
América-SP U20

América-SP U20

L
@ Itapirense U20
17 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Ponte Preta U20
25 Jun 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Itapirense U20 vs América-SP U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Itapirense U20 to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Itapirense U20 vs América-SP U20?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Itapirense U20 vs América-SP U20?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Itapirense U20 vs América-SP U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more