Italy U20vs
England U20
COMPLETEDWorld · U20 Elite League · 9/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Italy U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Italy U20 1-3 England U20
Original prediction
Italy U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.3% | 46.8% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 24.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.3% | 28.4% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Italy U20
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Italy U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60