UEFA U19 ChampionshipUEFA U19 Championship
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 12:40
Italy U19

Italy U19

Home
DLD
20
Full time
Serbia U19

Serbia U19

Away
LL
The Oval
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Italy U19(46%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Italy U19
Win probability
Italy U19
46%
Draw
28%
Serbia U19
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Italy U19
9
Serbia U19
18
Defence
Italy U19
86
Serbia U19
14
Momentum
Italy U19
22
Serbia U19
0
Danger (xG)
Italy U19
0.00
Serbia U19
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Italy U19)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Serbia U19)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Italy U19)
0.30
avg per match
xG against (Serbia U19)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Italy U19Italy U19
DLDW
Serbia U19Serbia U19
LLL

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Italy U1946%
Draw28%
Serbia U1926%

Italy U19 leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Italy U19 head into this in UEFA U19 Championship fixture at The Oval in mixed form (DLD), while Serbia U19 arrive in mixed form (LL). Italy U19 have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Serbia U19 over 2 games.

The model rates Italy U19's attack at 9/100 against a 14/100 Serbia U19 defence, and Serbia U19's attack at 18/100 against a 86/100 Italy U19 backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Italy U19 have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Serbia U19 have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Italy U19 have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Italy U19 to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Italy U19 4590%, Draw 2830%, Serbia U19 2570%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Italy U19 1Draws 00 Serbia U19
Avg goals: 2.0
29 Jun 2026
Italy U19
W20
Serbia U19

Recent form

Italy U19

Italy U19

D
@ Denmark U19
8 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Ukraine U19
5 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Croatia U19
2 Jul 2026
00
W
vs Serbia U19
29 Jun 2026
20
Serbia U19

Serbia U19

L
vs Croatia U19
5 Jul 2026
03
L
vs Ukraine U19
2 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Italy U19
29 Jun 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Italy U19 vs Serbia U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Italy U19 to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Italy U19 vs Serbia U19?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Italy U19 vs Serbia U19?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Italy U19 vs Serbia U19?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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