Itabiritovs
Uniao Luziense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 2 · 5/13/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itabirito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Itabirito are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Uniao Luziense are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Itabirito hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.9% in the Mineiro - 2, while Itabirito holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Itabirito
Probability
77.9%
Model confidence
77.9%
Itabirito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00