Itabirito U20vs
Coimbra U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro U20 · 8/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coimbra U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Itabirito U20 0-0 Coimbra U20, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Itabirito U20 0-1 Coimbra U20
Original prediction
Coimbra U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.4% | 34.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.3% | 29.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.3% | 35.9% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Itabirito U20 0–0 Coimbra U20
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Coimbra U20
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Coimbra U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Itabirito U20LWDLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Coimbra U20LDWLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Itabirito U20Coimbra U20
47.9Attack33.3
50.0Defence70.8
50.0Form50.0
51.6Power53.7
0.90xG0.93