Itabirito U20vs
América Mineiro U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro U20 · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América Mineiro U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Itabirito U20 2-2 América Mineiro U20
Original prediction
América Mineiro U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.77 | 15.3% | 17.7% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.4% | 21.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 61.3% | 61.3% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
América Mineiro U20
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
América Mineiro U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40