Istra 1961vs
Rudes
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istra 1961 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Istra 1961 3-2 Rudes
Original prediction
Istra 1961
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.7% | 48.6% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.1% | 25.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 6.00 | 15.2% | 25.6% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Istra 1961
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Istra 1961 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Istra 1961WDDLW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RudesWLLWL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Istra 1961Rudes
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power14.3
1.58xG1.08