Istra 1961vs
HNK Hajduk Split
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Istra 1961 2-2 HNK Hajduk Split
Original prediction
HNK Hajduk Split
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.11 | 22.4% | 20.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.7% | 21.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 53.9% | 59.0% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00