Istra 1961vs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 8/29/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.05 | 15.2% | 27.6% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.8% | 25.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 64.0% | 46.7% | -17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40