Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Istiqlol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ravshan are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.3% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istiqlol
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
24.3%
Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00