Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Istiqlol are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Kuktosh are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istiqlol
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.75/1.25
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.67/2.67