Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Istiqlol are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Fayzkand are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istiqlol
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00