Istaravshanvs
Parvoz
COMPLETEDTajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 6/26/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Istaravshan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Parvoz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Parvoz hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Vysshaya Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20