GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 3/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Khosilot Farkhor · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Istaravshan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Khosilot Farkhor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Khosilot Farkhor hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khosilot Farkhor holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Khosilot Farkhor

Probability

79.0%

Model confidence

13.2%

Khosilot Farkhor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IstaravshanDLLDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Khosilot FarkhorWLLDW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IstaravshanKhosilot Farkhor
30.6Attack73.8
38.9Defence61.9
13.9Form66.7
30.8Power67.3
0.67xG2.76
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