Istaravshanvs
Khatlon
COMPLETEDTajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khatlon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Istaravshan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Khatlon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Khatlon hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khatlon holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khatlon
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
12.4%
Khatlon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60