Istaravshanvs
Istiqlol
COMPLETEDTajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 6/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Istaravshan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Istiqlol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 67.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.9% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istiqlol
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
20.9%
Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40