GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 6/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Istaravshan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Istiqlol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 67.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.9% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Istiqlol

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

20.9%

Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IstaravshanLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IstiqlolDWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IstaravshanIstiqlol
30.6Attack38.9
38.9Defence88.9
13.9Form69.4
30.8Power67.6
0.45xG1.45
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