GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/18/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kayserispor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

İstanbulspor are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kayserispor are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kayserispor hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Süper Lig, while Kayserispor holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kayserispor

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

İstanbulsporDLDDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
KayserisporDDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
İstanbulsporKayserispor
24.6Attack38.6
30.7Defence50.0
16.7Form39.5
27.0Power45.1
0.80xG1.55
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