İstanbulsporvs
Iğdır FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iğdır FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
İstanbulspor 1-2 Iğdır FK
Original prediction
Iğdır FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.9% | 23.5% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.5% | 25.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.7% | 51.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Iğdır FK
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
İstanbulsporLDLDL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Iğdır FKWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
İstanbulsporIğdır FK
33.3Attack46.7
13.3Defence73.3
13.3Form60.0
23.8Power61.3
0.85xG1.78