İstanbulsporvs
Antalyaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antalyaspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
İstanbulspor 0-2 Antalyaspor
Original prediction
Antalyaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.7% | 18.6% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.9% | 20.0% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.4% | 61.4% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Antalyaspor
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Antalyaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40