GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Başakşehir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Başakşehir are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kasımpaşa are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Başakşehir hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Süper Lig, while Başakşehir holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Başakşehir

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

13.4%

Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BaşakşehirLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KasımpaşaDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
50.0Attack33.3
62.3Defence66.7
53.5Form33.3
56.1Power45.3
1.55xG0.93
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