GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elazığspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Isparta 32 Spor 3-4 Elazığspor

Original prediction

Elazığspor

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.0417.9%24.0%6.1 pts
Draw3.9023.1%25.1%2.0 pts
Away1.5359.0%50.9%-8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.0–29%

Predicted outcome

Elazığspor

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Elazığspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Isparta 32 SporDWWWD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ElazığsporWWLDW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Isparta 32 SporElazığspor
61.9Attack85.7
42.9Defence81.0
52.4Form76.2
54.7Power78.4
1.17xG2.28
View match centre →