GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/8/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ismaning are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while TuS Geretsried are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ismaning

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IsmaningLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TuS GeretsriedDLWLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IsmaningTuS Geretsried
33.3Attack26.7
46.7Defence20.0
26.7Form33.3
37.7Power30.2
1.82xG1.14
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