Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ismaning are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sonthofen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60