Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ismaning are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sonthofen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20