GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/18/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rain / Lech hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ismaning

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IsmaningDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Rain / LechWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
IsmaningRain / Lech
33.3Attack42.2
46.7Defence47.1
26.7Form43.1
37.7Power46.1
1.41xG1.26
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