Oberliga - Bayern SüdOberliga - Bayern Süd
Friday, 31 July 202617:30Updated today
Ismaning

Ismaning

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L
vs
17:30
Landshut

Landshut

Away
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Landshut(43%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Ismaning
29%
Draw
28%
Landshut
43%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.06 xG for Ismaning and 1.55 xG for Landshut — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.49), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Ismaning finding the net in 6 of 10 matches and Landshut in 2 of 2. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.61 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.

xG for (Ismaning)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ismaning)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IsmaningIsmaning
L

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Ismaning29%
Draw28%
Landshut43%

Landshut leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Landshut Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Ismaning host Landshut in Oberliga - Bayern Süd. Ismaning have recorded WWWLDL in recent matches while Landshut arrive with a run of WW.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.55 expected goals for Landshut against 1.06 for Ismaning — a clear advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Landshut have kept 1 clean sheet(s) in 2 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Ismaning have averaged 1.22 goals per game recently while Landshut have managed 1.46. Landshut have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Landshut win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Landshut are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.55 projected against 1.06 for Ismaning. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.49 is the clearest signal in the model that Landshut are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Ismaning have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Ismaning carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Ismaning are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Ismaning

Ismaning

L
@ 1860 München II
16 May 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ismaning vs Landshut?

GoalVio's model predicts Landshut to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ismaning vs Landshut?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Ismaning vs Landshut?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ismaning vs Landshut?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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