Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ismaning are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20