Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kottern are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60