Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ismaning are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kottern are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00