GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/2/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kirchanschöring are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kirchanschöring hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ismaning

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IsmaningLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
KirchanschöringWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IsmaningKirchanschöring
33.3Attack53.3
46.7Defence33.3
26.7Form33.3
37.7Power43.0
1.59xG1.54
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