Ismaningvs
Heimstetten
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ismaning 3-2 Heimstetten
Original prediction
Ismaning
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.6% | 42.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.2% | 25.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.2% | 31.2% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80