GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/26/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Heimstetten are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IsmaningDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IsmaningHeimstetten
33.3Attack53.3
46.7Defence53.3
26.7Form46.7
37.7Power53.0
1.28xG1.58
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