GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/8/2023, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heimstetten are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IsmaningLWLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HeimstettenWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IsmaningHeimstetten
33.3Attack53.3
46.7Defence53.3
26.7Form46.7
37.7Power53.0
1.28xG1.58
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