Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ismaning are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Garching are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ismaning hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40