GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/22/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ismaning are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deisenhofen are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deisenhofen hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ismaning

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IsmaningDWDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
DeisenhofenWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 3.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
IsmaningDeisenhofen
33.3Attack40.0
46.7Defence40.0
26.7Form46.7
37.7Power42.8
1.49xG1.35
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