Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ismaning · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ismaning are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dachau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dachau hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Ismaning holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ismaning
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Ismaning has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20