Ismaily SCvs
Haras El Hodood
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haras El Hodood · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ismaily SC 0-1 Haras El Hodood, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ismaily SC 0-2 Haras El Hodood
Original prediction
Haras El Hodood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 30.5% | 26.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.4% | 29.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.1% | 45.0% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Projected Score
Ismaily SC 0–1 Haras El Hodood
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Haras El Hodood
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Haras El Hodood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20