GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 9/4/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AL Nasr SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Ismaily SC 0-0 AL Nasr SC, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Ismaily SC 1-1 AL Nasr SC

Original prediction

AL Nasr SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7233.1%32.2%-0.9 pts
Draw2.9730.4%30.9%0.5 pts
Away2.4736.5%36.9%0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Projected Score

Ismaily SC 0–0 AL Nasr SC

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

AL Nasr SC

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

AL Nasr SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ismaily SCLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AL Nasr SCDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Ismaily SCAL Nasr SC
33.3Attack16.7
16.7Defence83.3
0.0Form33.3
21.5Power48.3
0.87xG1.02
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