Island Bayvs
Miramar
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/4/2026, 3:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miramar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Island Bay have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Miramar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Miramar hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Chatham Cup, while Miramar holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Miramar
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Miramar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40