GGOALVIO

New-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/4/2026, 3:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Miramar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Island Bay have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Miramar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Miramar hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Chatham Cup, while Miramar holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Miramar

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

7.5%

Miramar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Island BayNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
MiramarWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Island BayMiramar
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power56.2
1.96xG2.50
View match centre →