Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iskra · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Iskra are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Berane are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Iskra hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Second League, while Iskra holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Iskra
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Iskra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.33/2.67