GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cherepovets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Iskra Smolensk are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Cherepovets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cherepovets hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Second League - Group 2, while Cherepovets holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cherepovets

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

13.6%

Cherepovets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Iskra SmolenskDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
CherepovetsLWDDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Iskra SmolenskCherepovets
29.4Attack39.2
33.3Defence45.1
21.6Form45.1
30.7Power45.2
0.99xG1.50
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