GGOALVIO

Turkey · 2. Lig · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

İskenderunspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

İskenderunspor 0-1 Kırklarelispor

Original prediction

İskenderunspor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1541.8%37.7%-4.1 pts
Draw3.0029.9%30.2%0.3 pts
Away3.1828.2%32.1%3.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

İskenderunspor

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

İskenderunspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

İskenderunsporLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KırklarelisporWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
İskenderunsporKırklarelispor
33.3Attack30.6
0.0Defence62.0
0.0Form40.7
15.3Power46.0
1.08xG0.98
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