GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/27/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Isidro Metapán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Platense are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Isidro Metapán hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (77.1 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera Division, while Isidro Metapán holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Isidro Metapán

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Isidro MetapánDWLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PlatenseDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Isidro MetapánPlatense
66.7Attack44.4
75.0Defence77.8
83.3Form55.6
77.1Power60.9
1.46xG0.89
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