Isidro Metapánvs
Fuerte San Francisco
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Isidro Metapán 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Isidro Metapán 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco
Original prediction
Isidro Metapán
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.2% | 69.6% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.5% | 20.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 6.75 | 13.3% | 9.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Isidro Metapán 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Isidro Metapán
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40